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A soggy January ☔ and what it’s revealing about the market

January is when things start moving again. Not quickly. Not noisily. Just steadily. Buyers return, listings begin to surface, and conversations that paused over summer resume with more intent. It’s a…

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A soggy January ☔ and what it’s revealing about the market January is when things start moving again. Not quickly. Not noisily. Just steadily. Buyers return, listings begin to surface, and conversations that paused over summer resume with more intent. It’s a useful time to pay attention because early patterns tend to stick.

Continued

This newsletter focuses on what’s actually happening in the market — where activity is picking up, where it isn’t, and what that means if you’re planning a move this year or simply keeping watch. 📊 What elections really do to the Christchurch property market With the 2026 general election now set for Saturday 7 November, we looked back at REINZ Christchurch data from 1996 to today to see what actually changes in election years. The short version: house prices don’t reliably fall in election years. Sales activity can pause slightly during campaigns — particularly in competitive elections — but typically lifts again once the result is known and certainty returns. What matters more than the election itself are policy signals that affect costs, taxes, or rules. Proposals like capital gains tax changes, investor rules, or first home buyer support can influence behaviour well before election…

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